MNF: The Route 95 Matchup

Best Picks: Commanders +11; Miles Sanders over 66.5 Rushing Yards

Watch for both teams to run the football into the ground. The Eagles dynamic offense torched the Commanders through the air in week 3 where Devonta Smith went for a career high 169 yards on 8 catches and 1 TD. This time around will be different. The Eagles offense can attack any way they want. The Commanders should be able to find success on the ground against the Eagles spotty run defense. The low in Philly tonight is 29, this has all the makings of a run heavy game.

Week 3 Devonta Smith goes for a career high 169 yards on 8 catches and 1 TD against the Commanders.

The Eagles come into this matchup as heavy favorites at home, and rightfully so.

Vegas is giving the Commanders a lot of points tonight. Washington is coming off of a much needed bye week after taking a tough loss to the Vikings in week 9. Before the bye, the Commanders switched their QB, giving the reigns to Taylor Heinicke. Heinicke has the Commanders playing their style of football, giving the talented WR core some good opportunities down field. The Eagles injury report is short, but leaves a gaping hole with Avonte Maddox ruled out for tonight’s game.

This is why we’re going to go with Commanders +11. Will the Commanders win tonight? Probably not. This will be a game where the Eagles have consistent control of the pace, and the Commanders score in the last minutes to get within the number.

Primetime matchups have been 19-10-1 up to this point. The unders are shooting at over a 60% clip. Tonight’s over/under is set at 43.5. With the spread at 11, o/u at 43.5, Vegas sees the game ending around 16-27.

Vegas isn’t always right, but they’re usually close. Bring that 16 to a football number of 17 and the Commanders cover.